nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-24 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Salud Carbajal (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.8%Safe D+0.7 pts in 30 days
Carbajal (D) 97.8%Smith (R) 1.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.8% · Kalshi 97.8% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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