CA-26 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Jacqui Irwin (D) to win
TruthIndex™
96.6%Safe D+1.2 pts in 30 days
Irwin (D) 96.6%Gallucci (R) 3.5%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 96.0% · Kalshi 98.4% · 2.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET