nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-31 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Gil Cisneros (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.1%Safe D−0.1 pts in 30 days
Cisneros (D) 96.1%Ching (R) 3.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.8% · Kalshi 97.8% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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