nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-32 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Brad Sherman (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.7%Safe D+1.2 pts in 30 days
Sherman (D) 96.7%Thompson (R) 2.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.2% · Kalshi 97.5% · 1.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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