nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-36 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Ted Lieu (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.1%Safe D+2.1 pts in 30 days
Lieu (D) 97.1%Brignano (R) 2.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.6% · Kalshi 98.8% · 2.1 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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