CA-39 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Mark Takano (D) to win
TruthIndex™
97.0%Safe D+2.0 pts in 30 days
Takano (D) 97.0%Manos (R) 1.6%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 96.9% · Kalshi 97.0% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET