CA-40 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Ken Calvert (R) to win
TruthIndex™
58.8%Safe R−9.9 pts in 30 days
Calvert (R) 58.8%Kim (R) 41.2%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 56.5% · Kalshi 60.0% · 3.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET