CA-42 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Robert Garcia (D) to win
TruthIndex™
97.2%Safe D+1.3 pts in 30 days
Garcia (D) 97.2%Burley (R) 3.0%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 97.0% · Kalshi 97.8% · 0.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET