nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-43 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Maxine Waters (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.7%Safe D+0.9 pts in 30 days
Waters (D) 97.7%Morales (R) 2.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.4% · Kalshi 98.4% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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