CA-46 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Lou Correa (D) to win
TruthIndex™
96.8%Safe D+1.7 pts in 30 days
Correa (D) 96.8%Pan (R) 2.9%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 95.5% · Kalshi 97.0% · 1.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET