nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-48 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Marni von Wilpert (D) to win

TruthIndex™
92.9%Safe D+5.7 pts in 30 days
Wilpert (D) 92.9%Desmond (R) 6.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 93.5% · Kalshi 92.3% · 1.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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