nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-50 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Scott Peters (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.4%Safe D+0.9 pts in 30 days
Peters (D) 96.4%Cohen (R) 2.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.2% · Kalshi 96.9% · 1.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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