nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-51 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Sara Jacobs (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.5%Safe D+0.1 pts in 30 days
Jacobs (D) 96.5%Cabrera (R) 1.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.6% · Kalshi 98.0% · 2.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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