nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CA-52 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Juan Vargas (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.2%Safe D+1.6 pts in 30 days
Vargas (D) 97.2%Belle (R) 2.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.8% · Kalshi 97.2% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:22 PM ET

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