nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CT-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Joe Courtney (D) to win

TruthIndex™
98.0%Safe D+2.7 pts in 30 days
Courtney (D) 98.0%Austin (R) 2.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.6% · Kalshi 98.5% · 0.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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