nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
CT-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jim Himes (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.7%Safe D+1.3 pts in 30 days
Himes (D) 97.7%Goldstein (R) 2.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.1% · Kalshi 98.1% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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