CT-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Jahana Hayes (D) to win
TruthIndex™
94.7%Safe D+0.3 pts in 30 days
Hayes (D) 94.7%Shea (R) 4.5%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 94.7% · Kalshi 94.7% · 0.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET