nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
FL-11 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Joe Strada (R) to win

TruthIndex™
87.9%Likely R+4.2 pts in 30 days
Strada (R) 87.9%Pericola (D) 9.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 90.5% · Kalshi 87.5% · 3.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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