nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
FL-14 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Kathy Castor (D) to win

TruthIndex™
68.5%Lean D+5.5 pts in 30 days
Castor (D) 68.5%Beltran (R) 31.1%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 69.5% · Kalshi 68.0% · 1.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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