nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
FL-19 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jim Schwartzel (R) to win

TruthIndex™
94.7%Safe R−0.2 pts in 30 days
Schwartzel (R) 94.7%Arias (D) 5.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 95.2% · 1.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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