nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
FL-26 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Mario Díaz-Balart (R) to win

TruthIndex™
88.6%Likely R−1.7 pts in 30 days
Díaz-Balart (R) 88.6%Locklin (D) 10.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 88.5% · Kalshi 89.0% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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