nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
FL-27 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

María Elvira Salazar (R) to win

TruthIndex™
63.8%Lean R−16.2 pts in 30 days
Salazar (R) 63.8%Rodriguez (D) 34.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 62.5% · Kalshi 65.5% · 3.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io