nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
HI-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jill Tokuda (D) to win

TruthIndex™
95.9%Safe D+0.3 pts in 30 days
Tokuda (D) 95.9%Awa (R) 3.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.6% · Kalshi 96.4% · 0.8 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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