nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IA-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Lindsay James (D) to win

TruthIndex™
59.5%Toss-up+5.8 pts in 30 days
James (D) 59.5%Mitchell (R) 42.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 60.5% · Kalshi 58.5% · 3.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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