IA-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Sarah Trone Garriott (D) to win
TruthIndex™
79.6%Likely D+5.8 pts in 30 days
Garriott (D) 79.6%Nunn (R) 20.3%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 81.5% · Kalshi 79.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET