nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
ID-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Russ Fulcher (R) to win

TruthIndex™
96.4%Safe R+0.6 pts in 30 days
Fulcher (R) 96.4%Peterson (D) 3.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.0% · Kalshi 98.0% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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