nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IL-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Mike Quigley (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.3%Safe D+1.6 pts in 30 days
Quigley (D) 97.3%Hanson (R) 2.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.0% · Kalshi 97.5% · 0.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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