IL-09 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Daniel Biss (D) to win
TruthIndex™
97.5%Safe D+1.8 pts in 30 days
Biss (D) 97.5%Elleson (R) 2.6%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 96.8% · Kalshi 98.0% · 1.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET