IL-14 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Lauren Underwood (D) to win
TruthIndex™
96.1%Safe D+0.5 pts in 30 days
Underwood (D) 96.1%Marter (R) 2.3%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 96.0% · Kalshi 96.8% · 0.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET