nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IL-16 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Darin LaHood (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.6%Safe R+2.3 pts in 30 days
LaHood (R) 95.6%Nolley (D) 3.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.6% · Kalshi 95.5% · 0.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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