nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IL-17 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Eric Sorensen (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.6%Safe D+3.2 pts in 30 days
Sorensen (D) 96.6%Vancil (R) 3.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.0% · Kalshi 95.3% · 1.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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