nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IN-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Frank Mrvan (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.4%Safe D+2.5 pts in 30 days
Mrvan (D) 96.4%Regnitz (R) 1.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.2% · Kalshi 97.0% · 0.8 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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