nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IN-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Marlin Stutzman (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.7%Safe R+0.5 pts in 30 days
Stutzman (R) 95.7%Thompson (D) 4.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.0% · Kalshi 96.4% · 1.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io