nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IN-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jim Baird (R) to win

TruthIndex™
94.5%Safe R+0.6 pts in 30 days
Baird (R) 94.5%Cox (D) 5.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 94.5% · 0.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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