nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IN-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Victoria Spartz (R) to win

TruthIndex™
81.8%Likely R−3.0 pts in 30 days
Spartz (R) 81.8%Ford (D) 18.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 81.0% · Kalshi 82.0% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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