nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IN-06 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Jefferson Shreve (R) to win

TruthIndex™
96.4%Safe R+1.6 pts in 30 days
Shreve (R) 96.4%Wirth (D) 3.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.8% · Kalshi 97.0% · 2.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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