nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
IN-07 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

André Carson (D) to win

TruthIndex™
97.5%Safe D+0.6 pts in 30 days
Carson (D) 97.5%McAuley (R) 1.0%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 98.0% · Kalshi 97.3% · 1.2 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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