nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
KS-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Derek Schmidt (R) to win

TruthIndex™
87.0%Likely R−4.4 pts in 30 days
Schmidt (R) 87.0%Coover (D) 12.9%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 87.0% · Kalshi 87.5% · 1.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io