nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
KS-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Ron Estes (R) to win

TruthIndex™
95.3%Safe R+2.2 pts in 30 days
Estes (R) 95.3%Tyndell (D) 4.5%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.0% · Kalshi 95.8% · 0.8 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io