nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
KY-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Morgan McGarvey (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.9%Safe D+1.1 pts in 30 days
McGarvey (D) 96.9%Rodriguez (R) 2.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 97.0% · Kalshi 96.8% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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