nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
KY-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Ed Gallrein (R) to win

TruthIndex™
94.1%Safe R+0.5 pts in 30 days
Gallrein (R) 94.1%Strange (D) 3.6%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 94.0% · 0.9 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

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