nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
KY-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Hal Rogers (R) to win

TruthIndex™
97.2%Safe R+1.7 pts in 30 days
Rogers (R) 97.2%Pillersdorf (D) 3.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 96.5% · Kalshi 97.5% · 1.3 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io