nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
LA-04 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Republicans to win

TruthIndex™
94.5%Safe R+0.0 pts in 30 days
Republicans 94.5%Democrats 4.8%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 94.5% · Kalshi 96.5% · 2.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io