nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
LA-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Republicans to win

TruthIndex™
95.8%Safe R+0.7 pts in 30 days
Republicans 95.8%Democrats 3.3%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.4% · Kalshi 96.5% · 1.6 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io