MA-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Richard Neal (D) to win
TruthIndex™
96.2%Safe D+0.4 pts in 30 days
Neal (D) 96.2%Republicans 2.5%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 95.5% · Kalshi 96.9% · 1.4 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET