MA-02 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Jim McGovern (D) to win
TruthIndex™
95.8%Safe D+0.3 pts in 30 days
McGovern (D) 95.8%Republicans 3.9%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 95.4% · Kalshi 97.2% · 1.7 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:34 PM ET