nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MA-09 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Bill Keating (D) to win

TruthIndex™
95.9%Safe D+0.3 pts in 30 days
Keating (D) 95.9%MacAllister (R) 3.2%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.8% · Kalshi 96.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

Keep track of every 2026 race, liveEvery 2026 race, livemidterms.nijinn.io