nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MD-01 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Andy Harris (R) to win

TruthIndex™
87.5%Likely R−5.7 pts in 30 days
Harris (R) 87.5%Schwartz (D) 12.7%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 87.5% · Kalshi 87.5% · 1.0 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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