nijinn18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY
MD-03 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026

Sarah Elfreth (D) to win

TruthIndex™
96.0%Safe D+0.4 pts in 30 days
Elfreth (D) 96.0%Flowers (R) 3.4%

Probability implied by prediction-market prices

Polymarket 95.5% · Kalshi 96.0% · 0.5 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET

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