MD-05 HOUSE · 3 NOV 2026
Adrian Boafo (D) to win
TruthIndex™
96.4%Safe D+0.6 pts in 30 days
Boafo (D) 96.4%Chaffee (R) 2.3%
Probability implied by prediction-market prices
18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAY18 DAYS TO ELECTION DAYProbability implied by prediction-market prices
Polymarket 96.0% · Kalshi 96.7% · 1.1 pts apartOct 16, 2026, 2:28 PM ET